Clay Davenport has published his 2012 projections (Feb 12). Projected division standings:
AL Central | Won | Lost | Runs F | Runs A |
---|---|---|---|---|
DET | 88 | 74 | 770 | 701 |
CWS | 79 | 83 | 697 | 721 |
CLE | 77 | 85 | 700 | 736 |
MIN | 72 | 90 | 678 | 763 |
KCR | 71 | 91 | 681 | 779 |
The projections for the Sox hitters:
Last | First | Age | Pos | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | TRND | HBP | BA | OBP | SLG | EqBA | EqOBP | EqSLG | EqA | EQR | VORP | Defense | FRAA | WARP | Upside1 | Break | Improve | Collapse | Attrition | Comparables |
CWS | TEAM | -25 | 6104 | 5574 | 697 | 1469 | 285 | 22 | 191 | 665 | 474 | 1122 | 98 | 45 | -3 | 57 | 0.264 | 0.328 | 0.425 | 0.26 | 0.328 | 0.411 | 0.254 | 673 | 209 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 20.3 | 17 | 39.6 | 28.7 | 23.8 | 0 | |
Konerko | Paul | 36 | 1B | 627 | 549 | 75 | 156 | 28 | 1 | 31 | 98 | 70 | 96 | 1 | 1 | -35 | 7 | 0.285 | 0.373 | 0.509 | 0.278 | 0.373 | 0.489 | 0.29 | 89 | 38 | 118-1B | 4 | 4.4 | 37 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 31 | Rafael_Palmeiro,Norm_Cash,Will_Clark,Joe_Adcock |
Ramirez | Alexei | 30 | SS | 607 | 563 | 71 | 155 | 30 | 2 | 17 | 77 | 41 | 77 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0.275 | 0.328 | 0.425 | 0.273 | 0.329 | 0.413 | 0.254 | 67 | 28 | 136-SS | 0 | 2.9 | 19 | 16 | 37 | 30 | 14 | Frank_Bolling,Johnny_Logan,Jack_Wilson,Todd_Walker |
De_Aza | Alejandro | 28 | LF | 587 | 539 | 74 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 102 | 24 | 9 | -22 | 4 | 0.279 | 0.338 | 0.411 | 0.277 | 0.34 | 0.405 | 0.256 | 66 | 17 | 131-LF | 2 | 2.4 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 31 | 29 | Kevin_Romine,Trent_Oeltjen,Matt_Diaz,Kevin_Thompson |
Rios | Alex | 31 | CF | 562 | 526 | 74 | 143 | 28 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 31 | 79 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0.271 | 0.317 | 0.431 | 0.27 | 0.319 | 0.421 | 0.252 | 62 | 22 | 121-CF | 2 | 1.9 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 29 | 32 | Garry_Maddox,Juan_Beniquez,Marquis_Grissom,Jim_Busby |
Viciedo | Dayan | 23 | RF | 562 | 524 | 63 | 140 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 33 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 0.268 | 0.317 | 0.432 | 0.263 | 0.316 | 0.418 | 0.25 | 60 | 12 | 145-RF | 0 | 0.8 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 30 | 17 | Cody_Haerther,Mark_Ryal,Juan_Rivera,Brandon_Moss |
Dunn | Adam | 32 | 1B | 544 | 463 | 61 | 107 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 69 | 75 | 163 | 0 | 1 | -35 | 5 | 0.231 | 0.345 | 0.443 | 0.224 | 0.345 | 0.42 | 0.264 | 64 | 17 | 121-1B | 2 | 1.4 | 31 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 32 | Tony_Solaita,Brian_Daubach,Russell_Branyan,Jim_Gentile |
Beckham | Gordon | 25 | 2B | 516 | 471 | 55 | 123 | 26 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 37 | 90 | 5 | 3 | 48 | 9 | 0.262 | 0.327 | 0.424 | 0.26 | 0.328 | 0.412 | 0.252 | 56 | 21 | 137-2B | 1 | 2.2 | 25 | 25 | 50 | 15 | 12 | Wil_Cordero,Glenn_Hubbard,Kurt_Stillwell,Adrian_Beltre |
Morel | Brent | 25 | 3B | 500 | 471 | 53 | 127 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 26 | 73 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.312 | 0.417 | 0.267 | 0.312 | 0.404 | 0.245 | 52 | 12 | 142-3B | -2 | 1.4 | 17 | 26 | 46 | 16 | 16 | Mike_Lamb,Mike_Richardt,Daniel_Murphy,Rich_Aurilia |
Lillibridge | Brent | 28 | RF | 484 | 437 | 59 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 41 | 122 | 24 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 0.24 | 0.314 | 0.401 | 0.241 | 0.319 | 0.392 | 0.246 | 51 | 8 | 91-RF | 3 | 1.4 | 27 | 19 | 43 | 23 | 16 | Gerald_Williams,Bob_Brower,Curtis_Pride,Reggie_Sanders |
Pierzynski | A.J. | 35 | C | 418 | 396 | 40 | 112 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 19 | 37 | 1 | 1 | -43 | 3 | 0.283 | 0.321 | 0.413 | 0.281 | 0.321 | 0.401 | 0.246 | 43 | 17 | 93-C | -1 | 1.5 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 40 | 40 | Brian_Harper,Mike_Redmond,Mike_Lieberthal,Darrin_Fletcher |
Flowers | Tyler | 26 | C | 261 | 228 | 27 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 77 | 1 | 1 | -13 | 4 | 0.232 | 0.33 | 0.407 | 0.229 | 0.332 | 0.395 | 0.251 | 28 | 12 | 110-C | -2 | 0.8 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 24 | Kelly_Shoppach,George_Kottaras,Eric_Crozier,Benji_Simonton |
Martinez | Osvaldo | 24 | SS | 98 | 92 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 0.256 | 0.304 | 0.341 | 0.251 | 0.302 | 0.333 | 0.224 | 8 | 1 | 134-SS | -4 | 0.1 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 37 | 27 | Luis_Nunez,Denny_Hocking,Juan_Castro,Juan_Gonzalez |
Escobar | Eduardo | 23 | SS | 66 | 63 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.248 | 0.284 | 0.337 | 0.242 | 0.28 | 0.327 | 0.215 | 5 | 0 | 139-SS | -2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 40 | 33 | 24 | Sharlon_Schoop,Anderson_Hernandez,Tony_Pena,Argenis_Diaz |
Young | Delwyn | 30 | RF | 37 | 34 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 0 | 0.243 | 0.298 | 0.377 | 0.239 | 0.298 | 0.358 | 0.228 | 3 | 0 | 85-RF | -1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 50 | 49 | Bruce_Aven,Lyle_Mouton,Joe_Borchard,Butch_Huskey |
Shoemaker | Brady | 25 | LF | 37 | 34 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.317 | 0.386 | 0.252 | 0.315 | 0.373 | 0.239 | 4 | 0 | 122-LF | 1 | 0.1 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 32 | 13 | Jason_Grove,Jeremy_Slayden,Tony_Acevedo,Joey_Butler |
Johnson | Dan | 32 | 1B | 35 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0.245 | 0.341 | 0.43 | 0.242 | 0.344 | 0.413 | 0.26 | 4 | 1 | 88-1B | 3 | 0.1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 40 | 47 | Larry_Sutton,Keith_Ginter,Jason_Lane,Jack_Voigt |
Short | Brandon | 23 | CF | 34 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.248 | 0.292 | 0.38 | 0.245 | 0.292 | 0.368 | 0.229 | 3 | 1 | 133-CF | -2 | -0.1 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 35 | 21 | Torii_Hunter,Jereme_Milons,Josh_Kroeger,Chris_Aguila |
Thompson | Trayce | 21 | CF | 34 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.218 | 0.278 | 0.364 | 0.212 | 0.276 | 0.347 | 0.219 | 3 | 0 | 132-CF | 0 | -0.1 | 4 | 32 | 45 | 38 | 23 | Darond_Stovall,Jai_Miller,Andrew_Rundle,Kyler_Burke |
Danks | Jordan | 25 | CF | 33 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.238 | 0.302 | 0.377 | 0.235 | 0.304 | 0.365 | 0.232 | 3 | 1 | 123-CF | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 24 | Brad_Snyder,Steve_Hosey,Kinnis_Pledger,Corey_Brown |
Smith | Kevan | 24 | C | 32 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.322 | 0.394 | 0.256 | 0.324 | 0.382 | 0.243 | 3 | 1 | 114-C | -4 | 0.1 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 49 | 9 | Barry_Gunther,Mike_Stefanski,Joe_Durso,Brian_Bormaster |
And the projections for the Sox pitchers:
Last | First | Age | Role | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | GBO% | BABIP | Trend | WHIP | RA | ERA | PERA | EqERA | EqH9 | EqBB9 | EqSO9 | EqHR9 | VORP | RAA | WARP | Upside | Break | Improve | Collapse | Attrition | Comparables |
CWS | TEAM | 79 | 83 | 40 | 533 | 162 | 1460 | 1368 | 721 | 671 | 149 | 515 | 1170 | 45 | 0.28 | 28 | 1.29 | 4.44 | 4.14 | 4.05 | 4.25 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 1 | 175 | -3 | 19 | 59 | 17 | 45 | 25 | 13 | 0 | ||
Danks | John | 27 | Sta | 11 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 199.3 | 190 | 97 | 91 | 20 | 62 | 154 | 46 | 0.283 | 27 | 1.26 | 4.39 | 4.09 | 3.97 | 4.17 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 2.8 | 92 | 7 | 46 | 17 | 8 | Joel_Pineiro,Jeff_Francis,Jason_Schmidt,Brad_Penny |
Floyd | Gavin | 29 | Sta | 11 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 195.7 | 188 | 91 | 85 | 19 | 50 | 150 | 49 | 0.284 | 22 | 1.22 | 4.19 | 3.9 | 3.82 | 3.99 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 6 | 0.9 | 30 | 8 | 3.2 | 114 | 11 | 41 | 19 | 11 | Dwight_Gooden,Matt_Morris,Johnny_Podres,Steve_Rogers |
Humber | Philip | 29 | Sta | 8 | 9 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 154.3 | 155 | 81 | 75 | 16 | 45 | 108 | 46 | 0.288 | 35 | 1.29 | 4.7 | 4.37 | 4.26 | 4.3 | 9 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 15 | -2 | 1.6 | 28 | 16 | 49 | 24 | 11 | Chris_Narveson,Jim_Brower,Colby_Lewis,Scott_Kamieniecki |
Peavy | Jake | 31 | Sta | 8 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 141.7 | 134 | 66 | 62 | 15 | 36 | 113 | 43 | 0.28 | 8 | 1.2 | 4.22 | 3.92 | 3.78 | 4.07 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 22 | 6 | 2.4 | 108 | 5 | 42 | 20 | 12 | Jason_Schmidt,Wandy_Rodriguez,John_Candelaria,Sterling_Hitchcock |
Sale | Chris | 23 | Sta | 7 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 133.3 | 123 | 66 | 61 | 13 | 49 | 119 | 54 | 0.285 | 45 | 1.29 | 4.44 | 4.13 | 3.94 | 3.81 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 15 | 1 | 1.6 | 73 | 24 | 44 | 35 | 6 | Francisco_Rodrigue,Joba_Chamberlain,Ambiorix_Burgos,Len_Barker |
Axelrod | Dylan | 26 | Swi | 6 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 14 | 114.7 | 109 | 55 | 51 | 12 | 37 | 85 | 43 | 0.279 | 9 | 1.27 | 4.34 | 4.04 | 4.06 | 4.34 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 14 | 2 | 1.5 | 23 | 17 | 43 | 28 | 20 | Tony_Fossas,Jason_Rakers,Shawn_Sedlacek,Richard_Strasser |
Heath | Deunte | 26 | Swi | 3 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 68.7 | 61 | 39 | 36 | 8 | 40 | 60 | 40 | 0.271 | 15 | 1.47 | 5.13 | 4.77 | 4.61 | 4.89 | 8.4 | 5 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 2 | -4 | 0.2 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 29 | 26 | Todd_Credeur,Cedrick_Bowers,Ramon_Romero,Josh_Schmidt |
Stewart | Zach | 25 | Sta | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 63.3 | 67 | 36 | 33 | 7 | 22 | 39 | 48 | 0.293 | 30 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 4.75 | 4.77 | 4.62 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 0.3 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 19 | 21 | John_Cummings,Brad_Rigby,Kevin_Jarvis,Clayton_Mortensen |
Reed | Addison | 23 | Rel | 4 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 60 | 49 | 24 | 22 | 6 | 18 | 57 | 33 | 0.259 | 32 | 1.12 | 3.6 | 3.35 | 3.18 | 4.06 | 8 | 2.4 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 14 | 6 | 1.5 | 31 | 21 | 44 | 36 | 9 | Evan_Scribner,Jesse_Carlson,Tony_Sipp,Smokey_Everett |
Thornton | Matt | 35 | Rel | 4 | 3 | 30 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 52 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 19 | 56 | 47 | 0.274 | 56 | 1.17 | 3.65 | 3.4 | 3.38 | 3.73 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 16 | 5 | 1.8 | 57 | 28 | 44 | 34 | 5 | Mike_Stanton,Paul_Assenmacher,Steve_Farr,Billy_Wagner |
Crain | Jesse | 30 | Rel | 3 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 51 | 28 | 26 | 6 | 28 | 57 | 37 | 0.267 | 40 | 1.31 | 4.17 | 3.88 | 3.87 | 4.37 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 26 | 39 | 33 | 9 | Alan_Embree,Mike_Jackson,Craig_Breslow,Kevin_Gregg |
Castro | Simon | 24 | Rel | 2 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 50 | 46 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 20 | 38 | 38 | 0.267 | 33 | 1.32 | 4.81 | 4.48 | 4.33 | 4.84 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 3 | -2 | 0.4 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 16 | 19 | Matt_Chico,Mitch_Atkins,Drew_Naylor,Andre_Treadway |
Bruney | Brian | 30 | Rel | 2 | 3 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 45 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 28 | 43 | 45 | 0.274 | 27 | 1.47 | 4.83 | 4.5 | 4.57 | 4.69 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0.1 | 17 | 22 | 44 | 33 | 14 | Richie_Lewis,Yorkis_Perez,Toby_Borland,Ron_Villone |
Ohman | Will | 34 | Rel | 2 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 45 | 39 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 45 | 0.274 | 39 | 1.29 | 4.42 | 4.12 | 3.87 | 4.06 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 3 | -1 | 0.4 | 32 | 29 | 48 | 33 | 17 | Mark_Guthrie,Doug_Bair,Jeffrey_Williams,Steve_Reed |
Infante | Gregory | 24 | Rel | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 34 | 33 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 46 | 0.28 | 61 | 1.53 | 5.26 | 4.9 | 4.93 | 5.05 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 58 | 13 | 16 | Zachary_Phillips,Lee_Langley,Francis_Beltran,Willie_Eyre |
Veal | Donnie | 27 | Rel | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 30 | 27 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 44 | 0.272 | 16 | 1.66 | 5.39 | 5.02 | 5.16 | 5.49 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 48 | 26 | 27 | Jeff_Zaske,Jon_Cannon,Mike_Bumatay,Colin_McLaughlin |
From a quick glance these look too good! 750 OPS out of Dunn/Rios, nearly 800 OPS out of Beckham, and WHIPs in the 1.2s from the entire starting rotation.