Padilla @ ESPN:
“Obviously [Tuesday] night he was awesome and he’s had days like that this year where he’s been unbelievable,” hitting coach Greg Walker said. “To me, the only issue so far this year is Carlos being late with the foot down, and we kind of corrected that a week, 10 days ago. Other than having a sore knee one day, he’s really been good ever since.”
Essentially, Walker has worked with Quentin to refine the timing of his swing. If Quentin can stride and get his foot down before the ball arrives, he is in a better position to cover the strike zone. His most impressive home run Tuesday came when he reached out across the plate and slugged a 400-foot-plus shot just inside the foul pole in right field.
“Going the other way is always a good sign for any hitter, especially being able to hit the ball in the gap and drive the ball,” Quentin said. “My push is to always stay up the middle and to the right side and to accomplish that, that’s something good.”
Other White Sox links: J.J. wants the Sox to trade Juan Pierre, move Carlos Quentin to LF, and call up Dayan Viciedo, Brett Ballantini updates his six-man rotation and his most and least valuable Sox players calculations, Satchel Price says Alexei Ramirez is the best shortstop in the AL, and John Sickels’ Prospect of the Day is ex-Sox prospect Fautino de los Santos.
Satchel Price @ BTB compiles the worst players in baseball list and a familiar name is atop the list:
LF Juan Pierre – .273 wOBA, -7.4 UZR, -1.1 WAR
Top alternatives: Alejandro De Aza, Dayan Viciedo, Jordan Danks
The weirdest part of this season for Pierre is how little he’s changed as a hitter from last season, and yet his overall performance has totally polarized. His walk rate, strikeout rate, BABIP, and isolated power are all similar… but slightly worse. Toss in a nearly 20-run shift in his defensive work (+12.4 in 2010, -7.4 in 2010) and a 43% success rate on 14 stolen base attempts, and you have the worst player in baseball so far. If you ever wondered what Juan Pierre would look like without the elite range or base-stealing skills, well, now you have it. And it’s very, very ugly. It’s going to be hard to ignore Danks (.262/.349/.546) and Viciedo (.309/.356/.488) all season.
BTB takes a look. Crist St. John:
Legendary Dodgers broadcaster Vin Scully likes to repeat a quote from a well-known former Major League manager, “Give me 50 games and I’ll know what kind of team I have.” I don’t remember who said it, or what the exact quote is, but that’s the gist of it. Just for reference, 50 games into the MLB season usually lands around the end of May. … I wanted to test this out and see how quickly we know how good a team actually is, so I did what any regular baseball fan would do: I went to coolstandings.com and grabbed the record at the end of each month for every team since 1998, when the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks were added to the major leagues. Then, I looked at the end of month winning percentage and compared it to the end of season win total, using a linear regression. I also split each month up into bins of team winning percentage, where each bin contains about 65 teams.
and a followup. Crist St. John:
Last week, I looked at when we can tell whether or not a team is actually good or bad. I’d like to take that one step further by asking the question: “how far back can a team be and still have a shot at winning their division?” Again, all data were collected from coolstandings.com. … I looked at how many games ahead of the division a team was at the end of each month and plotted that versus end of season team wins. A negative games ahead number is equal to how many games behind the division leader the team is. For instance, the top two teams in a division are 20-10 and 19-11, respectively. The 20-10 team will be one game ahead and the 19-11 team will be negative one game ahead. I won’t be focusing on the wild card teams here, since the amount of games back they are is more closely related to how good the first place team is.
Other White Sox links: FutureSox looks at the Sox relieving pitching prospects that could help the big club, Mike says Brent Morel is the wrong fall guy, James wants more Morel, and J.J. doesn’t like what he saw from Juan Pierre yesterday.
Wolfersberger @ FG:
There are three reasons why Dunn is struggling so far: a) he has been a victim of the luck dragon; b) he has not found his power stroke; c) his strikeouts are up. …
J.J. Stankevitz @ BL:
But back to the real issue: Pierre’s offense. Let’s start with his string of being caught stealing, because that’s maybe the most concerning issue surrounding the White Sox left fielder.
Speaking of struggling, Brett Ballantini explains how to save the Sox, and Lindsey Willhite looks back on the White Sox’ 2001 season.
Video: HR #1 (0:54), HR #2 (0:52). Dr. Fishbein is doing an awesome job!
BTW, here are some BABIPs from statcorner:
Gordon Beckham: .237
Adam Dunn: .250
Brent Morel: .250
A.J. Pierzynski: .250
Alexei Ramirez: .241
Alex Rios: .213
Edwin Jackson: .342
Jesse Crain: .200
Will Ohman: .348
Chris Sale: .346
Sergio Santos: .250
Matt Thornton: .400
8th inning, nobody out, Juan Pierre at first, Gordon Beckham at the plate, Adam Dunn on deck. And Ozzie calls for a bunt. Why? Let Beckham swing. Don’t give free outs to the other team. According to Tango’s Run Expectancy Matrix (1993-2010) the run expectancy with a man on 1st and no outs is 0.941 runs. If the bunt is successful and the runner moves to 2nd the run expectancy DROPS to 0.721. Why bother with the bunt? Why take the bat out of Beckham’s hands?
I see Mike shares my frustration. I wish I could do what James says and try to forget the whole thing!
UPDATE: Dunn says put me in coach:
Adam Dunn, who underwent a laparoscopic emergency appendectomy Tuesday night, woke up Wednesday morning and quickly tried to lobby for White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen to get him back in the lineup for Thursday’s home opener against Tampa Bay.”I talked to him this morning and he wants to play [Thursday],” Guillen said. “But I don’t want to take the risk.”
The good news for the White Sox is that Dunn, who began to feel discomfort in the abdominal area on Tuesday, won’t be sidelined for long. He is expected to miss up to five days. …
And hurry back because I don’t know how many days of Juan Pierre at DH can the team handle:
JJ explains his concerns with the strategy behind today’s failed double steal in the 1st inning:
The White Sox’s first spring training game of the year started off perfectly. After Juan Pierre walked, Gordon Beckham laced a single to put runners on first and second with nobody out and Adam Dunn coming up.
And then Pierre and Beckham took off running. Pierre was thrown out at third, and Clayton Kershaw struck out both Dunn and Konerko to end the inning.
The result isn’t what I’m concerned about. The execution isn’t what I’m concerned about. It’s the idea. …
Guillen did say that he would prefer to avoid a repeat of the Sox first inning when Juan Pierre was thrown out at third with no outs and Adam Dunn at the plate. Guillen admitted he told guys he wanted to be aggressive in spring training, but maybe not that aggressive.
“I hope he doesn’t do this during the season,” Guillen offered. “I hope it’s a spring training thing.”
Camp (Joey) Cora: Gordon Beckham, Ramon Castro, Brent Morel, Alexei Ramirez, Alex Rios and Dayan Viciedo, Juan Pierre, A.J. Pierzynski and hitting coach Greg Walker.
Justin Bopp takes a look at BTB and Juan clocks in at no. 2 for 2010.
Gross @ THT:
A couple of years ago, Chris Dutton and Peter Bendix did some research on batted-ball data and created a metric called xBABIP (“expected BABIP”). xBABIP dispelled the myth that BABIP was primarily a function of “LD%+ .120.” Rather, as Dutton and Bendix found, BABIP was better explained as a function all batted-ball types and ratios with speed/power/strikeout considerations.
Last year, Derek Carty and Chris Dutton debuted the simple xBABIP calculator on THT. This tool has empowered users to determine a player’s xBABIP and compare it to their actual BABIP. Therefrom, one could forecast a hitter’s expected batting line, assuming all the input ratios were to remain constant. Over the course of 500+ PA, these ratios tend to be significant, though conclusions can still be drawn at the 300 PA threshold (we’d really only be waiting on IFFB% stabilization).
For all 270 hitters who accrued 300 or more plate appearances this season, I applied the xBABIP formula (by park) to determine each hitter’s expected batting lines. In short, what I have created is a spreadsheet of “what you can expect as a baseline for production in 2011, assuming all else remains constant.” In other words, this is how these hitters should have hit in 2010. …
Numbers for the White Sox players from the full spreadsheet:
For players that played part of the year with the White Sox I got their BABIP numbers from statcorner. All the numbers are for the time they played for the White Sox:
Mark Teahen had only 262 PAs.