Merkin @ CWS:
A few years ago, analyst Rany Jazayerli did a study for Baseball Prospectus, asking a simple question: How meaningful are the first few dozen games of a season, in terms of predictive value? In other words, at what point does “still early” become “too late?”The question has a special relevance for the White Sox, who finished April with a 10-18 record and set a franchise record for losses in an opening month. There was a lot of complicated math in Jazayerli’s study, but his conclusion was that, generally speaking, a team is what it is at about the 48-game mark. There are lots of exceptions to the rule, including last year’s White Sox, but the rule of thumb is that once that threshold is reached, a team’s current record has as much predictive value as any kind of preseason projection.
After today’s loss, the Sox will have played 29 games.
And Ozzie’s take:
Manager Ozzie Guillen returned to the dugout on Sunday, saying he’s grown weary of questions about bad starts.
“I’m tired of saying it’s too early,” said Guillen. “I get tired of telling myself it’s too early. It’s never too early. If you go out there and start saying stuff and pushing these guys, talking to those guys, then you say, ‘Well, the manager is panicking. The coaches are panicking. The owners are panicking.’
“There is no way we are going to play this bad any longer. There is no way. We’ve done everything on the field to be terrible. Now, it’s our time for the ball to bounce our way.”
Expecting to win due to magic. Maybe Ibis made some mean quesadillas!
Padilla @ ESPN:
Brent Lillibridge’s home run in the fifth inning Sunday meant the utility player now has three on the season.More surprising, his third home run, in his 27th at-bat, is one more long ball than slugger Adam Dunn has in 75 at-bats. Lillibridge was essentially replacing Dunn in the lineup Sunday since Carlos Quentin moved to the designated hitter spot while Lillibridge took over for Quentin in right field.
UPDATE: Not so fast (click image to play):
Is it too late? Mike takes a look.
Ozzie says to keep playing (like there is an option to stop!):
“There are only so many days I can tell the fans we’ll be OK. There are so many days I can tell myself we’ll be OK,” manager Ozzie Guillen said. “I don’t know if we will be OK. Every day you say ‘we’ll be OK, tomorrow we’ll get them.’ All of a sudden the next day is a little bit worse.
“Then you start thinking what can we do, what should we do. You know what we should do? Just keep playing because no matter what way you look at it, you won’t resolve the problem.”