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November 22, 2010

Tango’s Run Expectancy Matrix (1950-2010)

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ November 22, 2010 12:31 pm
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Tango (blog):

The following table presents the average number of runs that scored, from that base/out state, to the end of that inning.All data is from 1950-2010, courtesy of Retrosheet, our sabermetric sliced bread. 

Note: Only includes: completed innings; through the 8th inning.

The RE24 values for 1999-2002 are:

RE 99-02 0 1 2
Empty 0.555 0.297 0.117
1st 0.953 0.573 0.251
2nd 1.189 0.725 0.344
3rd 1.482 0.983 0.387
1st_2nd 1.573 0.971 0.466
1st_3rd 1.904 1.243 0.538
2nd_3rd 2.052 1.467 0.634
Loaded 2.417 1.65 0.815

Don’t forget, Run Expectancy by the 24 base out states (RE24) is THE single most important thing to know about baseball.

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