Let’s assume for a moment that Peavy’s strikeout and walk rates mirror his Bill James projection for 2010: 9.08 K/9 and 2.89 BB/9. But instead of his HR/9 average coming in well under 1.00, he gives up roughly one homer per nine frames. That’s about 24 dingers in his projected 215 innings.
That would make Peavy’s projected Fielding Independent ERA about 3.70. …
December 5, 2009
Fangraphs projecting Jake Peavy
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