The problem is that the expense of employing him gets so much worse from there, courtesy of the long-term deal Rios inked with the Jays in April of 2008. He’s due at least $59.7 million through 2014, which PECOTA already didn’t anticipate he’d come close to earning in terms of his pre-season projected production: if he’d hit his median projection this year and kept hitting it through 2014, we anticipated he’d be worth about $22 million. Even if he rebounds as much as his post-All-Star break spike suggest (he’s been slugging .479 since), he’s on tap for a bad year, one that will put a dent in any future expectations, but even if you write it off, it’s still a player who’s being massively overcompensated relative to his production in an outfield corner.
August 10, 2009
BP’s playing What-if with Alex Rios
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