scott merkin tweets:
White Sox offer arbitration to Konerko, Putz; Decline arbitration on Pierzynski and Manny Ramirez.
UPDATE: Konerko, Pierzynski and Ramirez are Type-A free-agents. Putz is a Type-B. Merkin explains what happens now:
Konerko, 34, has been classified as a Type A free agent, meaning the White Sox will receive two extra Draft picks in the 2011 First-Year Player Draft if Konerko declines arbitration and signs with another team. Konerko and Putz have one week to decide if they will accept the arbitration offer, with Nov. 30 standing as the deadline.
A first-round pick would go to the White Sox from the Konerko-signing team, as long as that team’s pick is not protected in the Top 15. The White Sox also would receive a sandwich pick in between the first and second rounds.
It’s unlikely for Konerko to accept this arbitration offer, meaning he would be under the White Sox control for just the next season at an increase from his $12 million salary in 2010. Konerko figures to command a multiyear offer, based on his overall body of work, his leadership skills and his .312 average, 39 home runs and 111 RBIs put up last year, with the White Sox certainly remaining in the picture.
Putz, 33, meanwhile, has Type B classification, meaning the White Sox would receive a supplemental selection between the first and second round if he declines arbitration and signs elsewhere. If Putz accepts arbitration by next Tuesday, the White Sox would have an important bullpen cog back in the fold for 2011 at a cost slightly above the $3 million Putz earned in 2010.
UPDATE #2: Padilla @ ESPN:
Williams suggested that not offering arbitration to Pierzynski was a sign of respect:
“We felt that if we did offer arbitration to A.J. and there were [compensation draft] picks involved that it would potentially hurt a guy that is loyal to us and has been a stud behind the plate and brings it every day,” Williams said. “We just didn’t want to do that. The market will define what his worth is and there will be a time in the offseason when we will get together with his guy and discern the options for bringing him back and whether it’s affordable.”
UPDATE #3: Here’s MLBTR’s Free-Agent compensation primer. and MLBTR’s Free-Agent compensation offer tracker.
Gross @ THT:
A couple of years ago, Chris Dutton and Peter Bendix did some research on batted-ball data and created a metric called xBABIP (“expected BABIP”). xBABIP dispelled the myth that BABIP was primarily a function of “LD%+ .120.” Rather, as Dutton and Bendix found, BABIP was better explained as a function all batted-ball types and ratios with speed/power/strikeout considerations.
Last year, Derek Carty and Chris Dutton debuted the simple xBABIP calculator on THT. This tool has empowered users to determine a player’s xBABIP and compare it to their actual BABIP. Therefrom, one could forecast a hitter’s expected batting line, assuming all the input ratios were to remain constant. Over the course of 500+ PA, these ratios tend to be significant, though conclusions can still be drawn at the 300 PA threshold (we’d really only be waiting on IFFB% stabilization).
For all 270 hitters who accrued 300 or more plate appearances this season, I applied the xBABIP formula (by park) to determine each hitter’s expected batting lines. In short, what I have created is a spreadsheet of “what you can expect as a baseline for production in 2011, assuming all else remains constant.” In other words, this is how these hitters should have hit in 2010. …
Numbers for the White Sox players from the full spreadsheet:
For players that played part of the year with the White Sox I got their BABIP numbers from statcorner. All the numbers are for the time they played for the White Sox:
Mark Teahen had only 262 PAs.
Garfien @ CSN:
Let’s start with the four World Series heroes, and their chances of coming back:
Paul Konerko: 50 percent
A.J. Pierzynski: 40 percent
Bobby Jenks: 1 percent
Freddy Garcia: 25 percent
I’d go with those numbers too. More predictions at the link.
“Kenny and Jerry [Reinsdorf] never get involved with my lineup,” Guillen said. “They never did and I don’t think they ever will. I hope not. You never know. But all of a sudden you don’t play Manny for three or four days and he’s healthy … we bring this guy here to play every day.
“I don’t blame them to be that way. But they never get into my lineup, they never did. I do the lineup the best I can and pick a matchup here and there who plays better, but playing time for the rest of the guys, they have to wait and see how I handle it.”
… By bringing aboard Ramirez, Williams was essentially forcing Guillen’s hand with lineup decisions. Or at least that’s how Guillen seems to look at it.
“In the meanwhile it’s hard for me to make the lineup every day because of that situation,” Guillen said about Ramirez’s presence.
What part of the ‘the American League uses a DH’ doesn’t Ozzie understand? Is it so difficult to understand if the Twinkies use a 900 OPS DH and the White Sox use a 700 OPS DH, the White Sox would be at a disadvantage?
Asked if Tony Gwynn or Ichiro Suzuki came to the White Sox with long hair, Williams amended that statement saying that anybody with Hall of Fame credentials can take some liberties with the team’s appearance standards. He added that Paul Konerko could grow a Mohawk andhe wouldn’t have an issue with it.
Will Paulie be able to adjust [to a Mohawk]?
Ramirez also had his dreadlocks cut by his personal barber, Angel Pena. Ramirez flew Pena to Boston and had him cut off exactly 99 millimeters–the number 99 matching his jersey number.
99 millimeters are 3.9 inches or 9.9 centimeters.
UPDATE #1: Speaking of Manny, does Kenny have a thing for 1990′s Cleveland players?
UPDATE #2: Here’s a picture of Manny:
If a .200 ISO does not seem exciting enough, there are reasons to think he can do better in Chicago. According to StatCorner.com, the park factor for home runs for right-handed hitters in Los Angeles was 92. Compare that to U.S. Cellular, home of the White Sox, which has a 134 park factor for home runs for right-handed hitters. That is a serious swing in fortunes. In 213 earlier-career at-bats at the Cell, he’s had a .338/.448/.601 line that suggests he feels comfortable there. …
BTW, here’s another ‘Manny Ramirez is a bum’ takedown.
Gregor @ DH:
Ozzie said Manny might not make his debut until Wednesday, but the guess here is he debuts Tuesday night. Ramirez is scheduled to be on a red-eye flight from California tonight, with his plane landing at 6 a.m. Tuesday morning local time. If he gets enough sleep and feel up for playing tomorrow night, he’ll be in the lineup.
Who knows if Ramirez can vault the White Sox back into the playoffs, but it sure might be fun watching, even without Ramirez’s dreadlocks. He informed the White Sox that yes, he plans to get a haircut and abide by team rules.
Merkin @ WS:
Set to wear jersey No. 99, Ramirez will top Tony Phillips’ previous franchise high of jersey No. 73 from 1997. He was slated to fly on a red-eye flight from Los Angeles to Cleveland on Monday night, leaving manager Ozzie Guillen unsure if Ramirez will start Tuesday.
UPDATE: 6:00 am was 2:15 pm…