White Sox news, Minor Leagues updates and more

March 26, 2011

Baseball Musings’ AL Central preview

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ March 26, 2011 10:30 pm
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Pinto:

… Here’s how I see the odds of the five teams winning the division:

  1. Minnesota Twins 31%
  2. Chicago White Sox 30%
  3. Detroit Tigers 29%
  4. Cleveland Indians 6%
  5. Kansas City Royals 4%

February 22, 2011

Vegas Watch 2011 MLB Wins Over/Unders

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ February 22, 2011 12:15 pm
Tags:

VW’s AL Central Wins Over/Unders:

Minnesota- 87
Chicago W- 84.5
Detroit- 83.5
Cleveland- 71
Kansas City- 70

February 21, 2011

Alex Rios: We’re the team to beat [UPDATE]

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ February 21, 2011 9:45 pm
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Gregor @ DH:

At the end of his typically abbreviated chat with reporters, Rios was asked if the White Sox are the team to beat in the AL Central this season.

“Oh, yeah,” Rios said. “Definitely. We’re the team to beat. We have good additions to the team. The core is solid and with the additions we’re even stronger. I think we’re going to give a hard time to a lot of people out there.”

Can we beat the Twinkies first, Alex? What the heck happened to humility?

JJ’s take is here.

UPDATE: Here’s Ozzie:

Guillen wants his players to be confident but not boastful, until they have fulfilled their potential. And he doesn’t want them to be consumed with AL Central nemesis Minnesota despite incessant questions about how much better they stack up against the Twins following their offseason upgrades.

“The one thing I’m concerned about is don’t let the hype get you,” Guillen said. “We haven’t done anything yet. We haven’t proved anything yet. We don’t know what’s going to happen. All that stuff like ‘we should win, we should have to win’ — keep that thing behind. Prove to people what you can do, show them what you can do. And then you talk.

“Just play your game. Let your ability take over and the confidence. Be confident, but don’t be cocky. And that’s one of the things I worry about.”

February 11, 2011

Still too early CAIRO 2011 MLB Projected Standings (version 0.6)

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ February 11, 2011 7:30 pm
Tags: ,

SG @ RLYW:

I suppose this is where I should tell you that it’s still too early to treat these as gospel and we still have position battles and rosters to finalize, as well as playing time allocation and injuries to deal with, but that doesn’t seem to prevent some people from taking them seriously and insulting my mother anyway, so I won’t.

TEAM W L RS RA Div WC PL W+/- RS+/- RA+/-
White Sox 84.3 77.7 718 704 36.1% 5.7% 41.8% -3.7 -25 -41
Twins 82.3 79.7 744 727 26.9% 5.0% 31.9% -11.7 -37 56
Tigers 81.9 80.1 714 697 27.7% 5.5% 33.2% 0.9 -37 -46
Indians 70.6 91.4 711 804 6.2% 1.4% 7.6% 1.6 65 52
Royals 66.2 95.8 658 806 3.1% 0.7% 3.8% -0.8 -18 -39

 

 

 

 

 

The previous standings (December 28) were:

TEAM W L RS RA Div WC PL W+/- RS+/- RA+/-
Twins 85.7 76.3 752 715 33.3% 6.2% 39.5% -8.3 -29 44
White Sox 84.5 77.5 735 711 28.4% 6.2% 34.5% -3.5 -17 7
Tigers 84.0 78.0 727 712 27.5% 4.6% 32.0% 3.0 -24 -31
Indians 73.9 88.1 728 802 8.2% 2.7% 10.8% 4.9 82 50
Royals 66.9 95.1 678 815 2.8% 1.1% 3.9% -0.1 2 -30

The Sox are up, while the Twinkies and the Tigers are down.

BTW, seems Kenny read the suggestions at that post!

February 7, 2011

BTB has the White Sox rotation as the best in the AL Central

Satchel Price:

When this rotation is healthy, few teams west of Philly can boast a stronger group from top to bottom. Buehrle might average 86 MPH with his fastball, but he’s essentially a lock for 200+ innings and 3+ WAR. Danks, Floyd and Jackson have shown continued improvement over the past couple years; each posted 3.8 WAR or higher last season and they all have the potential to exceed that mark again in 2011. The No. 5 spot in the rotation is murky, but the upside is massive between Peavy and Sale. And even if Peavy doesn’t return until June and Sale is the club’s closer, this is still an obvious strength given how good the front four guys are. When you look at this group of guys and where some of them started, it’s hard not credit Don Cooper for everything he’s done in Chicago. People love what Dave Duncan does for the Cardinals in St. Louis, but there’s no doubt that the AL has a similar equivalent in Mr. Cooper.

January 27, 2011

Dan Szymborski’s White Sox 2011 ZiPS Projections

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 27, 2011 10:30 pm
Tags: ,

Szymborski @ BBTF:

It’s not a world-beating team, but the White Sox are my early pick for the AL Central, edging out the Tigers and a little above the Twins. The team’s not headed for a 95-win season, but they are generally solid without a lot of major holes, though they could use another bullpen arm. …

Here are the first 5 hitting projections:

Player            B    PO  Age     BA  OBP  SLG   G  AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB  SO  SB  CS OPS+
Adam Dunn         L    DH   31   .252 .383 .539 147 497  81 125  24   1  39  98 102 190   1   1  142
Paul Konerko      R    1B   35   .273 .358 .500 133 484  70 132  24   1  28  86  62  92   1   1  126
Carlos Quentin    R    RF   28   .261 .358 .495 128 444  74 116  25   2  25  88  49  79   4   2  125
Alexis Rios       R    CF   30   .273 .321 .440 153 605  84 165  33   4  20  84  40 103  26  10  100
Dallas McPherson  L    DH   30   .226 .310 .487 105 380  51  86  17   2  26  63  44 153   5   2  106
...

and the the first 5 pitching projections:

Player            T     Age      ERA     W    L    G   GS     IP     H   ER   HR   BB    K  ERA+
John Danks        L      26     3.82    15    9   32   32   200.3  189   85   21   65  161   117
Jake Peavy        R      30     3.89    10    6   20   20   120.3  110   52   14   40  119   115
Gavin Floyd       R      28     3.95    14    9   30   30   189.3  186   83   20   57  157   113
Mark Buehrle      L      32     4.30    13   10   30   30   190.3  214   91   21   45  103   104
Chris Sale        L      22     4.40    10    8   40   20   143.3  143   70   18   52  130   102
...

I hope and expect Beckham will have a better year than what his projection says!

J.J. Stankevitz looks on the ZiPS projections. BTW, Brett Ballantini sees 93 wins and a division title.

January 25, 2011

THT looks on spending by MLB clubs over the last decade

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 25, 2011 1:00 pm
Tags: ,

From the AL Central section of Matt Binder’s article on THT:

While the AL East graph showed some team-to-team consistency (save possibly the Rays), the AL Central graph shows a mess. The Twins have been an underdog, spending more than the league average only once, in 2010 . This is especially impressive considering they were almost contracted into oblivion. The AL Central is the lowest-spending division on average, with the White Sox being the only team to average above the major league average during the ten-year period.

January 2, 2011

Extremely Early CAIRO 2011 MLB Projected Standings

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 2, 2011 12:54 pm
Tags: ,

Here’s the extremely early, unset rosters, AL Central projection:

TEAM W L RS RA Div WC PL W+/- RS+/- RA+/-
Twins 85.7 76.3 752 715 33.3% 6.2% 39.5% -8.3 -29 44
White Sox 84.5 77.5 735 711 28.4% 6.2% 34.5% -3.5 -17 7
Tigers 84.0 78.0 727 712 27.5% 4.6% 32.0% 3.0 -24 -31
Indians 73.9 88.1 728 802 8.2% 2.7% 10.8% 4.9 82 50
Royals 66.9 95.1 678 815 2.8% 1.1% 3.9% -0.1 2 -30

One more addition? How about Justin Duchscherer? Or a reliever? Is Will Ohman a good option? Alfredo Aceves? More FA names with 2011 salary projections here.

How about taking a flyer on Lastings Milledge?

December 24, 2010

The Hardball Times’ 2011 projections

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ December 24, 2010 12:56 pm
Tags: ,

Introduction. THT’s Forecasted Final 2011 Standings:

American League Central
Team Wins Losses
DET 87 75
MIN 79 83
CHA 79 83
CLE 68 94
KCA 58 104

A computer projection that’s not upbeat about the White Sox. Nothing new here!

October 5, 2010

White Sox attendance down 4%, Minnesota up 36%. MLB revenues up.

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ October 5, 2010 2:34 pm
Tags: , , ,

Maury Brown (BoB) @ FG:

Team
# Gms
2009 Attend
2009 Avg
# Gms
2010 Attend
2010 Avg
Diff
Dif Per Gm
%
(+/-)
Twins
81
2,362,149
29,162
81
3,223,640
39,798
861,491
10,636
36.47%
White Sox
81
2,284,163
28,200
81
2,194,378
27,091
-89,785
-1,108
-3.93%
Tigers
81
2,567,192
31,694
81
2,461,237
30,386
-105,955
-1,308
-4.13%
Royals
81
1,799,686
22,218
81
1,615,327
19,942
-184,359
-2,276
-10.24%
Indians
81
1,766,242
21,805
81
1,391,644
17,181
-374,598
-4,625
-21.21%

However, MLB is projected to pull in a record $7 billion in revenues:

Major League Baseball is projecting gross revenues of $7 billion for 2010, continuing a run of record-breaking years, and bucking the chilly economy. … In 2009, final revenues were $6.6 billion up from $6.5 billion in 2008. The increase from 2009 to the projected 2010 figure is a remarkable 6.06 percent increase, an incredible jump in an economy that continues to run chilly.

How were the increases reached? Sources at Major League Baseball say one big component is local television deals that have annual escalators. The other is for expiring TV deals in the very competitive market where regional sports networks (RSNs) are clamoring for more live content, there are significant increases.

September 9, 2010

White Sox attendance: 50,000 less through 65 games

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ September 9, 2010 2:18 pm
Tags: ,

BoB (via B-R):

Club 2009
#Gms
2009 2009
Avg
2010
#Gms
2010 2010
Avg
Diff
Total
Diff
Avg
Indians 68 1,483,789 21,820 68 1,174,888 17,278 -308,901 -4,543
Royals 68 1,546,703 22,746 68 1,359,118 19,987 -187,585 -2,759
Tigers 70 2,224,031 31,772 70 2,152,892 30,756 -71,139 -1,016
White Sox 65 1,828,375 28,129 65 1,777,911 27,352 -50,464 -776
Twins 70 2,007,032 28,672 70 2,783,388 39,763 776,356 11,091

Look at the Twinkies. Last year both the Sox and the Twinkies were drawing around 28,000 per game. This year the Twinkies, at new target field, are drawing nearly 40,000 per game while the Sox dropped to a little more than 27,000 per game.

August 18, 2010

Fangraphs reviews the 2010 AL Central draft classes

Smith:

I have to hope and assume that Sale will soak in some knowledge from Don Cooper these last two months, but then be ready to open next season in Double-A, as a starter. Petricka has some fantastic potential, and don’t sleep on ninth-round pick Kevin Moran, who also has a good arm. …

August 17, 2010

FutureSox looks at the AL Central team draft pending

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ August 17, 2010 3:17 pm
Tags: ,

Buchanan @ FS:

The 2010 Draft signing deadline came and went with no new signing for the White Sox, but plenty of other teams were active, including the Sox’ AL Central counterparts. I take a look at the draft spending for each team in the Central to see if the White Sox are extremely cheap, or if it’s just my imagination. …

July 12, 2010

Odds to win the division

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 12, 2010 7:30 pm
Tags:

Odds to win the division from BP and Yahoo:

White Sox Tigers Twins
BP Regular 40.9 31.9 26.8
BP PECOTA 52.6 31.4 16
BP ELO 59.9 22.1 17.5
Accuscore 38.5 29 32.5

July 9, 2010

Good thing we don’t play the Rangers again this season

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 9, 2010 9:13 pm
Tags: , , , ,

MLBTR:

Cliff Lee is joining his fourth team in 12 months and the Rangers are hoping he can lead them to the playoffs for the first time in 11 years. The Rangers pried Lee away from the Mariners and multiple suitors today in a blockbuster deal that makes the 50-35 Rangers clear favorites to win the AL West.

They obtained Lee, Mark Lowe (who is out for the season with back surgery) and cash considerations from the Mariners for Justin Smoak, Blake Beavan, Matthew Lawson and Josh Lueke.

White Sox games remaining against the Rangers: 0

Twins games remaining against the Rangers: 7

Tigers games remaining against the Rangers: 5

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