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April 3, 2012

White Sox @ Astros @ 7:05 pm CT; game on CSN-TV

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ April 3, 2012 7:00 pm
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Watch live on CSN-TV as Chris Sale gets the start in the first of two exhibition games vs. the Astros at Minute Maid Park today at 7:05 p.m. CT. Four closing candidates are also scheduled to pitch, including Addison Reed, Matt Thornton, Hector Santiago, and Jesse Crain, as well as rookie reliever Nate Jones.  Boxscore | Gameday

The game is, also, carried live on MLB.TV’s free game of the day and Gameday Audio.

RLYW’s 2012 MLB Projection Blowout

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ April 3, 2012 3:00 pm
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SG has aggregated his standings projections. Here are the AL Central projected standings:

This year, I’m using five different projection systems.  …

CAIRO, which is my own projection system.
Tangotiger’s Marcel.
The Hardball Times’s Oliver.
Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA.
Dan Szyborski’s ZiPS.

I should note that the Marcel projections used here were generated using Python code provided by Jeff Sackmann and are not the “official” projections, although they should be almost identical.  I’ll also mention that Oliver, PECOTA and ZiPS have their own projected standings so these should not be considered the official version of those forecasts.  Playing time distribution, run environments and park factors may cause some divergence between what those forecasts say and what mine say.  When in doubt, go with the official ones. …

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 86 76 784 736 53.5% 1.1% 11.0% 65.6% 76 – 96
CLE 82 80 767 751 30.7% 1.6% 7.8% 40.1% 72 – 92
CHA 76 86 707 772 8.0% 1.0% 2.8% 11.8% 66 – 86
KC 75 87 705 765 5.6% 0.4% 1.6% 7.7% 65 – 85
MIN 71 91 731 822 2.1% 0.1% 0.6% 2.9% 61 – 81

CAIRO 2012 v1.0 and Final Pre-season MLB Standings Projection:

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 87 75 803 741 55.2% 1.3% 10.3% 66.8% 77 – 97
CLE 84 78 759 721 36.4% 2.4% 9.3% 48.0% 74 – 94
CHA 74 88 699 806 3.0% 0.2% 0.8% 4.0% 64 – 84
KC 73 89 682 754 3.6% 0.2% 0.8% 4.6% 63 – 83
MIN 71 91 725 815 1.8% 0.0% 0.3% 2.1% 61 – 8

The 2012 MLB Projection Blowout – Marcel Edition:

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 84 78 756 723 41.0% 1.5% 9.9% 52.4% 74 – 94
CLE 83 79 755 738 33.7% 2.0% 8.4% 44.1% 73 – 93
CHA 79 83 697 714 13.1% 2.0% 5.1% 20.2% 69 – 89
KC 78 84 708 735 11.0% 1.2% 3.6% 15.7% 68 – 88
MIN 70 92 711 818 1.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.8% 60 – 80

The 2012 MLB Projection Blowout – Oliver Edition:

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 88 74 760 696 67.2% 1.5% 14.1% 82.7% 78 – 98
CHA 79 83 695 711 13.0% 2.4% 5.5% 20.9% 69 – 89
CLE 79 83 753 771 12.9% 1.9% 5.9% 20.7% 69 – 89
KC 76 86 705 754 4.7% 0.7% 2.4% 7.7% 66 – 86
MIN 73 89 716 793 2.2% 0.4% 1.4% 3.9% 63 – 83

The 2012 MLB Projection Blowout – PECOTA Edition:

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 85 77 789 746 56.9% 0.7% 11.2% 68.9% 75 – 95
CLE 82 80 776 757 33.3% 1.0% 8.3% 42.7% 72 – 92
CHA 75 87 712 806 6.1% 0.4% 1.5% 7.9% 65 – 85
MIN 71 91 739 835 2.3% 0.0% 0.6% 2.9% 61 – 81
KC 70 92 697 803 1.4% 0.1% 0.3% 1.7% 60 – 80

The 2012 MLB Projection Blowout – ZiPS Edition:

Team W L RF RA Div WC 1 WC 2 PS% W 1 Std
DET 84 78 812 776 47.4% 0.8% 9.2% 57.4% 74 – 94
CLE 83 79 792 768 37.2% 0.8% 7.0% 44.9% 73 – 93
KC 76 86 731 781 7.5% 0.0% 1.1% 8.6% 66 – 86
CHA 74 88 730 827 4.9% 0.0% 1.0% 5.8% 64 – 84
MIN 72 90 762 846 3.1% 0.1% 0.5% 3.7% 62 – 82

There is a common theme on all these…

The Rubric Theme Blog at WordPress.com.

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