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January 16, 2012

BDD is reviewing PECOTA’s 2011 projections

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 16, 2012 7:30 pm
Tags: ,

Doug Thorburn:

The isolated power of Alexei Ramirez has bounced around like a pinball for the last few seasons, and PECOTA mined beneath the career marks and struck gold. The relative hits on Ramirez’s batting average and OBP are less impressive, if only because his career numbers in those categories are more stable. Ramirez did up his walk rate beyond expectations, improving on the biggest deficiency in his offensive game, though he had showed similar patience back in 2009. PECOTA came very close on this hi-beta player, coming within 4 points of OPS and righteously projecting his 2nd-worst performance of the last four years. However, there is no way to measure the deleterious affect that Ramirez may have had on the approach of his aforementioned double-play partner, if only through association by proximity.

Alexei’s stats:

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2008 26 CHW AL 136 509 480 65 139 22 2 21 77 13 9 18 61 .290 .317 .475 .792 103 228 14 3 4 4 3 *468/5 RoY-2
2009 27 CHW AL 148 606 542 71 150 14 1 15 68 14 5 49 66 .277 .333 .389 .723 86 211 15 1 6 8 3 *6
2010 28 CHW AL 156 626 585 83 165 29 2 18 70 13 8 27 82 .282 .313 .431 .744 99 252 12 2 7 5 2 *6 SS
2011 29 CHW AL 158 684 614 81 165 31 2 15 70 7 5 51 84 .269 .328 .399 .727 97 245 19 6 8 5 1 *6/D
4 Seasons 598 2425 2221 300 619 96 7 69 285 47 27 145 293 .279 .323 .421 .745 96 936 60 12 25 22 9
162 Game Avg. 162 657 602 81 168 26 2 19 77 13 7 39 79 .279 .323 .421 .745 96 254 16 3 7 6 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table Generated 1/16/2012.

There’s a review of Gordon Beckham’s projection as well at the link.

Kevin Goldstein’s 2012 Top 11 White Sox prospects

Kevin Goldstein @ BP:

System in 20 Words or Less: Two words: Not good.

Four-Star Prospects
1. Addison Reed, RHP
Three-Star Prospects
2. Nestor Molina, RHP
3. Trayce Thompson, OF
4. Jake Petricka, RHP
5. Simon Castro, RHP
6. Keenyn Walker, OF
Two-Star Prospects
7. Eduardo Escobar, SS
8. Jhan Marinez, RHP
9. Myles Jaye, RHP
10. Tyler Saladino, SS
11. Andre Rienzo, RHP

Goldstein has 9 more Sox prospects (Juan Silverio, 3B; Jared Mitchell, OF; Brandon Short, OF; Pedro Hernandez, LHP; Gregory Infante, RHP; Erik Johnson, RHP; Michael Blanke, C; Dylan Axelrod, RHP; Osvaldo Martinez, SS) more and his scouting report on Addison Reed at the link.

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