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January 13, 2012

CAIRO 2012 White Sox projections (version 0.4)

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 13, 2012 10:00 pm
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SG at the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog published the latest the (version 0.4) 2012 CAIRO projections. Here are the White Sox projections starting with the position players:

mlbamid Last First Age Pos Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO TB GDP HBP SH SF avg obp slg wOBA BR BR/650 BRAA Pos Repl BRAR oWAR
493596 Beckham Gordon 26 2B CHA AL 134 523 466 61 115 26 1 13 53 6 4 40 96 180 8 9 5 4 .247 .315 .387 .310 54 67 -7 2 17 12 1.2
457477 de Aza Alejandro 28 CF CHA AL 63 236 212 32 56 12 2 4 23 9 4 20 44 85 4 2 2 1 .265 .331 .403 .324 27 74 -1 1 8 8 0.8
276055 Dunn Adam 33 DH CHA AL 145 599 504 65 111 24 1 29 79 1 1 95 179 223 10 6 0 3 .221 .354 .442 .353 78 85 9 -14 19 14 1.4
452095 Flowers Tyler 26 C CHA AL 59 233 201 25 44 9 1 9 24 2 1 29 66 82 3 4 1 1 .220 .331 .409 .329 27 75 0 4 7 12 1.2
117244 Konerko Paul 36 1B CHA AL 147 622 538 75 153 27 1 30 95 2 1 70 97 271 13 7 0 8 .285 .370 .504 .377 93 97 20 -11 20 29 2.9
452121 Lillibridge Brent 29 RF CHA AL 77 197 175 28 41 7 1 7 23 7 4 16 51 72 3 3 2 1 .236 .308 .410 .314 21 70 -2 -2 6 3 0.3
543569 Morel Brent 25 3B CHA AL 92 340 313 36 76 15 1 9 33 5 3 22 50 119 7 2 3 2 .244 .295 .381 .297 33 62 -7 1 11 5 0.5
150229 Pierzynski A.J. 36 C CHA AL 115 459 427 43 118 24 1 9 46 2 1 21 44 172 15 4 3 4 .277 .314 .402 .313 48 68 -5 8 15 18 1.8
425567 Rios Alexis 31 CF CHA AL 148 614 568 74 142 28 2 17 67 19 8 38 93 227 20 4 1 5 .250 .301 .399 .306 63 67 -8 2 20 14 1.4
493364 Viciedo Dayan 23 RF CHA AL 80 321 297 35 76 13 0 12 35 3 1 20 59 124 8 3 1 1 .255 .309 .419 .318 35 72 -2 -3 10 5 0.5

A .353 wOBA from Adam Dunn? I’ll take it! I’ll take the .329 wOBA from Tyler Flowers too!

And the pitcher projections:

mlbamid Last First Age Team Lg Role G GS W L Sv IP H R ER HR BB SO HBP WP BF RA ERA FIP RAR WAR
518420 Axelrod Dylan 27 CHA AL SP 22 14 4 6 0 90 100 46 43 8 32 58 4 1 390 4.62 4.28 4.11 13 1.3
430884 Crain Jesse 31 CHA AL RP 68 0 3 4 17 66 56 29 27 7 31 62 1 2 275 4.01 3.65 3.93 10 1.0
433579 Danks John 27 CHA AL SP 25 25 8 10 0 155 157 74 69 17 48 118 5 4 652 4.28 3.99 3.93 29 2.9
425856 Floyd Gavin 29 CHA AL SP 30 30 9 11 0 188 189 90 84 20 53 147 8 10 788 4.30 4.02 3.81 35 3.5
458950 Humber Philip 30 CHA AL SP 18 15 5 6 0 92 102 53 50 14 29 58 3 3 398 5.19 4.87 4.73 8 0.8
349193 Ohman Will 35 CHA AL RP 60 0 3 3 2 49 48 25 23 7 21 45 2 2 212 4.57 4.20 4.31 4 0.4
408241 Peavy Jake 31 CHA AL SP 16 16 6 5 0 98 99 46 45 11 27 82 3 3 409 4.27 4.15 3.70 18 1.8
592665 Reed Addison 24 CHA AL RP 32 0 2 2 0 43 42 19 18 5 15 44 2 1 181 4.03 3.74 3.55 6 0.6
519242 Sale Chris 23 CHA AL RP 48 0 3 3 0 57 45 20 20 5 23 61 2 2 232 3.26 3.16 3.34 13 1.3
519242 Sale Chris 23 CHA AL SP 27 27 11 8 0 164 152 74 69 18 66 151 4 6 672 4.07 3.77 3.86 34 3.4
543819 Stewart Zach 26 CHA AL SP 20 19 4 8 0 109 135 71 67 18 44 65 5 2 488 5.88 5.55 5.31 1 0.1

Chris Sale has 2 projections; one as a starter and one as a reliever. I’ll take the 165 innings (and the 2 more wins above replacement) everyday of the week and twice on Sunday!

Yoenis Cespedes says the White Sox are among the teams with “more interest” in him

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ January 13, 2012 3:00 pm

MLBTR:

Yoenis Cespedes says the six teams with “more interest” in signing him are the Marlins, Cubs, White Sox, Orioles, Tigers and Indians, tweets Dionisio Soldevila of the Associated Press. The Cuban outfielder, who struck out in each of his three at bats in the Dominican Winter League last night, will likely become a free agent soon. Cespedes said he isn’t worried that his performance in the Winter League will reduce his bargaining power, Soldevila tweets.

Clay Davenport analyzed Yoenis Cespedes’ case and projected his MLB stats:

Year Tm Lge Age PA AB R H DB TP HR RBI BB SO SB CS BAvg OBP SLG EqBA EqOBA EqSLG EqA RAR WARP Defense MJ Brk Imp Col Att Drp
2012 FA_ NL 26 566 516 74 134 26 2 24 77 46 101 8 3 .260 .325 .457 .263 .330 .471 .279 33.5 4.1 132-CF   1 88 23 53 19 9 0
2013 FA_ NL 27 560 509 75 133 26 2 24 76 47 101 8 3 .261 .329 .462 .262 .332 .467 .280 34.6 4.3 131-CF   1 95 27 48 20 17 0
2014 FA_ NL 28 559 509 75 134 26 2 25 79 46 101 7 3 .263 .329 .470 .264 .333 .475 .282 35.7 4.4 131-CF   1 100 24 48 23 23 8
2015 FA_ NL 29 516 467 69 122 24 2 23 72 45 95 5 2 .261 .331 .469 .262 .335 .475 .283 33.3 4.1 120-CF   1 98 28 47 31 31 20
2016 FA_ NL 30 496 451 63 115 21 1 22 69 41 88 4 2 .255 .323 .452 .256 .327 .461 .276 27.7 3.4 116-CF   1 92 24 37 40 37 24
2017 FA_ NL 31 463 418 60 109 20 1 21 64 41 82 4 2 .261 .333 .464 .262 .337 .474 .282 29.3 3.6 108-CF   1 97 23 42 42 46 29

Check out Davenport’s analysis.

PS. You got to check out Jose Abreu’s 2011 stats: .453/.597/.986 with a 32/58 K /BB ratio in 212 AB.  That’s a 1.583 OPS! The guy hit 33 HR in 212 AB!!

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