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October 15, 2011

Robin Ventura Beats Up Nolan Ryan?

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ October 15, 2011 3:00 pm
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“You still think Ventura got his ass beat by Nolan Ryan? Think again. The new manager of the White Sox is a fighter and a winner. Deal with it.”

h/t Ben Lindberg’s Transactional Analysis: Robin Ventura

THT’s Jeffrey Gross calculates the xBABIP adjustments to the 2011 batting lines

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ October 15, 2011 12:00 am
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Jeffrey Gross:

… Turning to the data, let’s first look at the “unluckiest” batters of 2011—those who are most likely to see the sharpest batting average improvements in 2012 (dBABIP greater than .050):

Last Name First Name Team BABIP xBABIP dBABIP
Chone Figgins Mariners 0.215 0.314 0.100
Vernon Wells Angels 0.214 0.298 0.084
Rafael Furcal MULTIPLE 0.240 0.320 0.080
Alex Rios White Sox 0.237 0.299 0.062
Adam Dunn White Sox 0.240 0.299 0.059

As you might expect, a lot of the guys with some of the lowest batting averages in baseball populate this list. Those players, though mostly terrible, were not nearly as terrible as their batting lines from last year indicate. For example, Alex Rios was likely more a .260-.270 than a .227 hitter, and Adam Dunn should have hit closer to .200 than .159. …

Here are the xBABIP data for the White Sox players from the accompanying spreadsheet (batters with positive dBABIPs are “unlucky” while batters with negative dBABIPs are “lucky”):

First Name Last Name Team PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR BB SO SF SB IFH% LD% GB% FB% IFFB% BIP HBP P/PA BABIP xBABIP dBABIP
Rios Alex White Sox 570 537 122 85 22 2 13 27 68 4 11 5.0% 18.4% 42.3% 39.3% 12.9% 473 2 3.5 0.237 0.299 0.062
Dunn Adam White Sox 496 415 66 39 16 0 11 75 177 2 0 0.0% 20.0% 32.5% 47.5% 13.2% 240 4 4.4 0.240 0.299 0.059
Morel Brent White Sox 444 413 101 72 18 1 10 22 57 1 5 8.7% 19.2% 49.3% 31.5% 9.1% 349 3 3.6 0.262 0.311 0.049
Pierre Juan White Sox 711 639 178 155 17 4 2 43 41 3 27 7.4% 21.1% 53.0% 25.8% 7.6% 558 7 3.4 0.294 0.325 0.031
Beckham Gordon White Sox 557 499 115 82 23 0 10 35 111 3 5 7.1% 20.3% 39.5% 40.3% 21.0% 390 13 3.8 0.276 0.293 0.017
Pierzynski A.J. White Sox 500 464 133 95 29 1 8 23 33 6 0 1.4% 20.9% 50.6% 28.5% 7.3% 435 5 3.4 0.291 0.308 0.017
Ramirez Alexei White Sox 684 614 165 117 31 2 15 51 84 5 7 7.9% 19.3% 45.5% 35.2% 15.6% 528 6 3.6 0.288 0.301 0.012
Quentin Carlos White Sox 483 421 107 52 31 0 24 34 84 5 1 6.4% 14.3% 32.2% 53.5% 16.9% 342 23 3.7 0.261 0.269 0.008
Konerko Paul White Sox 639 543 163 107 25 0 31 77 89 11 1 0.6% 22.4% 37.0% 40.6% 7.9% 465 8 3.9 0.304 0.301 -0.003

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