Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds

Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds:

by clicking the link of each team’s name you can see a progression of that team’s playoff odds through every day of the season

based on real-data, no projections:

AL Central	W	L	Pct3	Avg W	Avg L	Champions	Wild Card	Playoffs	1D Change	7D Change
Tigers	49	43	.515	86.6	75.4	55.92486	.43351	56.35837	7.38183	7.81095
Indians	47	42	.504	84.6	77.4	36.23713	.47695	36.71409	-5.04343	-0.89384
White Sox	44	48	.489	78.5	83.5	7.15738	.08489	7.24227	-2.87993	-9.13173
Twins	41	48	.421	71.6	90.4	.59413	.00319	.59732	.18329	.37796

projection version:

AL Central	W	L	Pct3	Avg W	Avg L	Champions	Wild Card	Playoffs
Tigers	49	43	.503	84.7	77.3	55.51128	.47534	55.98662
Indians	47	42	.446	79.2	82.8	12.18235	.22229	12.40464
White Sox	44	48	.516	81.0	81.0	20.74908	.44954	21.19862
Twins	41	48	.508	79.0	83.0	11.51699	.23804	11.75503
Royals	37	54	.444	67.4	94.6	.04030	.00010	.04040

ELO version (ELO?):

AL Central	W	L	Pct3	Avg W	Avg L	Champions	Wild Card	Playoffs
Tigers	49	43	1505.	85.2	76.8	42.65058	.43378	43.08437
Indians	47	42	1512.	85.0	77.0	41.53700	.43670	41.97370
White Sox	44	48	1496.	78.5	83.5	8.79992	.09117	8.89108
Twins	41	48	1501.	77.6	84.4	6.90983	.06208	6.97192
Royals	37	54	1460.	66.9	95.1	.10267	.00050	.10317

Paulie Konerko’s take inside:

http://twitter.com/#!/scottmerkin/status/90185138868191232

http://twitter.com/#!/scottmerkin/status/90185178722471936

http://twitter.com/#!/scottmerkin/status/90186347867942913