White Sox news, Minor Leagues updates and more

July 11, 2011

Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 11, 2011 11:15 pm
Tags: ,

Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds:

by clicking the link of each team’s name you can see a progression of that team’s playoff odds through every day of the season

based on real-data, no projections:

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs 1D Change 7D Change
Tigers 49 43 .515 86.6 75.4 55.92486 .43351 56.35837 7.38183 7.81095
Indians 47 42 .504 84.6 77.4 36.23713 .47695 36.71409 -5.04343 -0.89384
White Sox 44 48 .489 78.5 83.5 7.15738 .08489 7.24227 -2.87993 -9.13173
Twins 41 48 .421 71.6 90.4 .59413 .00319 .59732 .18329 .37796

projection version:

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Tigers 49 43 .503 84.7 77.3 55.51128 .47534 55.98662
Indians 47 42 .446 79.2 82.8 12.18235 .22229 12.40464
White Sox 44 48 .516 81.0 81.0 20.74908 .44954 21.19862
Twins 41 48 .508 79.0 83.0 11.51699 .23804 11.75503
Royals 37 54 .444 67.4 94.6 .04030 .00010 .04040

ELO version (ELO?):

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Tigers 49 43 1505. 85.2 76.8 42.65058 .43378 43.08437
Indians 47 42 1512. 85.0 77.0 41.53700 .43670 41.97370
White Sox 44 48 1496. 78.5 83.5 8.79992 .09117 8.89108
Twins 41 48 1501. 77.6 84.4 6.90983 .06208 6.97192
Royals 37 54 1460. 66.9 95.1 .10267 .00050 .10317

Paulie Konerko’s take inside:

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1 Comment »

  1. I was very disappointed with what ELO turned out to be

    Comment by JRFegan — July 12, 2011 @ July 12, 2011 12:44 am | Reply


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