White Sox news, Minor Leagues updates and more

July 11, 2011

Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 11, 2011 11:15 pm
Tags: ,

Clay Davenport’s Playoff Odds:

by clicking the link of each team’s name you can see a progression of that team’s playoff odds through every day of the season

based on real-data, no projections:

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs 1D Change 7D Change
Tigers 49 43 .515 86.6 75.4 55.92486 .43351 56.35837 7.38183 7.81095
Indians 47 42 .504 84.6 77.4 36.23713 .47695 36.71409 -5.04343 -0.89384
White Sox 44 48 .489 78.5 83.5 7.15738 .08489 7.24227 -2.87993 -9.13173
Twins 41 48 .421 71.6 90.4 .59413 .00319 .59732 .18329 .37796

projection version:

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Tigers 49 43 .503 84.7 77.3 55.51128 .47534 55.98662
Indians 47 42 .446 79.2 82.8 12.18235 .22229 12.40464
White Sox 44 48 .516 81.0 81.0 20.74908 .44954 21.19862
Twins 41 48 .508 79.0 83.0 11.51699 .23804 11.75503
Royals 37 54 .444 67.4 94.6 .04030 .00010 .04040

ELO version (ELO?):

AL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Tigers 49 43 1505. 85.2 76.8 42.65058 .43378 43.08437
Indians 47 42 1512. 85.0 77.0 41.53700 .43670 41.97370
White Sox 44 48 1496. 78.5 83.5 8.79992 .09117 8.89108
Twins 41 48 1501. 77.6 84.4 6.90983 .06208 6.97192
Royals 37 54 1460. 66.9 95.1 .10267 .00050 .10317

Paulie Konerko’s take inside:

(more…)

Adam Dunn’s K% drops 6 points! Greg Walker is genius!

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 11, 2011 8:30 pm
Tags:

Appelman @ Fangraphs:

Due to popular demand and to decrease general confusion, K% has been changed from K/AB to K/PA.

On average, you’ll see players’ K% drop about 2% and, at the very most (rare cases like Adam Dunn), about 6%.

This is a site-wide change and impacts stats pages, splits, leaderboards, and graphs that contain K%.

Rick Hahn: Sox poor season complicates Viciedo callup

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 11, 2011 2:45 pm
Tags: ,

WSCR:

… “Look, he’s done absolutely marvelously,” Hahn said. “In fact, he’s even done better in the last three or four weeks since this sort of buzz for people wanting him up here began. He’s actually shown a little more plate discipline in the past few weeks. He’s gotten even better as a defender and an outfielder.“

When he gets here we do think he’s going to be an impact guy. That being said, he is 22 years old. If he had grown up in the states, he’d be a year out of the draft, in all probability. To expect that a 22-year-old kid would come up here and, you know, essentially save the season or turn around the offense single handily, is an awful lot to put on him.”

Audio at the link.

Ozzie looks at the Dunn-Rios pledge [UPDATE]

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ July 11, 2011 12:00 pm
Tags: , , , , ,

Ginetti @ CST:

‘‘I am,’’ Dunn said, ‘‘because I feel like me and Alex, we’ve been as bad as you could possibly be, and if we’re doing half of what we normally do, we’re not even talking about this. . . . We’re putting it all on us in the second half, basically.”

Guillen likes Dunn’s optimism, ‘‘but I don’t want him to put more pressure on himself, like, ‘I have to do it in the second half for the White Sox to win.’ Everybody has something to do here. The second half is about 25 guys, not about two guys. If [everybody] puts it together and does what they’re supposed to do, we’re going to have a chance.’’

Like Dunn needed more pressure.

UPDATE: More Ozzie:

“He’s wrong. He’s wrong. Very wrong,” Guillen said. “Because I don’t think we pay Adam Dunn and Alex Rios for it to be on them. I think they have to do their part. I think it’s about 25 guys, maybe about 26 or 28, but it’s about everyone. Hopefully they come out of their slump and play better, but we’re not going to win if Adam Dunn hit 40 (home runs). It’s going to make it easier, but if everybody contribute and everybody do what they’re supposed to do, then it will change.”

Other White Sox links: J.J. says Tyler Flowers may not be the ideal backup form A.J. Pierzynski, James tries to find out what’s wrong with Gavin Floyd and also looks at the Dunn-Rios pledge, and the 2nd half rotation will be: Floyd-Jackson-Peavy-Buehrle-Humber-Danks.

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