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April 4, 2011

John Sickels on Brent Morel

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ April 4, 2011 9:47 pm
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Sickels:

Here ten more rookie predictions. Although each of them is intended to be plausible, this is just for fun. Don’t take these especially seriously. …

Brent Morel, 3B, Chicago White Sox: Morel hits well in April, poorly in May, well in June, poorly in July, well in August, and poorly in September, but plays well enough with the glove to stay in the lineup despite his very streaky hitting. He finishes at .261/.329/.422 but quietly swipes 17 bases.

Why was Alexei bunting in what resulted in a triple play yesterday?

Filed under: Chicago White Sox — The Wizard @ April 4, 2011 3:00 pm
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Looking at Tango’s Run Expectancy Matrix (1993-2010) we see with men on 1st and 2nd and no outs the run expectancy is 1.557 runs. What happens if you lay down a successful bunt ? With men on 2nd and 3rd and 1 out the run expectancy DROPS to 1.447. Why then bunt at all? Let the player swing the bat Ozzie.

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