BDD's Major League Projections

McQuown:

MLPs – Major League Prime Projections – have been around at Baseball Daily Digest since the 2006 season, and are the output of Rob McQuown’s proprietary system for determining the “typical” prime-years season for a minor-league player. Since bad years are often the result of injuries, the system was designed to give results which are in line with the average of the “middle” three seasons between ages 26-30 for a ballplayer, and players can be expected to have seasons above and below those represented as a course of normal variance, but the lines provide good benchmarks for what to expect when a player develops fully. NOTE: projections are “tuned” to 2009 MLB values, and are for neutral park and league. …

Player Name	Age	PA	PA’	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	HP	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	SB	RCG
Tyler Flowers	24	1408	600	503	119	35	1	25	82	7	129	.237	.352	.464	0	5.3
Jared Mitchell	21	138	600	495	116	49	4	7	106	3	161	.235	.374	.395	21	4.9

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